Thursday, December 02, 2004

 

VIII. Long-Run Planning Prices

Over the last few years I have distributed my "Classic Cattle Cycles Profit Strategies" Computer CD Video to ranchers and beef specialists. This CD Video goes into detail on 5 different strategies to make the cattle cycle work for you. This CD Video covers my Cattle Cycle Seminar during the 1990s. This Video was based on my late 2001 and early 2002 cattle cycle projections. In this Video, the current beef price cycle was projected to go from 1996 through 2008.

Clearly, the current beef price cycle has now been extended. A lot has happen in the last 2 years, including a five- year drought in the Western U.S., two BSE announcements, and the U.S. and Canadian borders closed to beef exports.

The new beef price cycle chart presented here updates my price cycle projections as of late 2004. Basically, the extended drought has extended the current beef price cycle from 1996 to 2012/2013. We are only now (with 2004 heifer calves) starting to rebuild the nations beef cow herd. This build up was delayed by the pro-longed national drought.

I encourage ranchers to take this chart and apply my Classic Cattle Cycle CD's suggested strategies to this current cattle cycle projection. This new beef price cycle suggests several good years for beef cow producers.

I hope each of you adopt those management strategies that take advantage of these good time; but.. many of you are going to miss this great opportunity. This is not the time for "management as usual." Many ranchers are going to leave a lot of money on the table in these good times. I am going to do all I can to help ranchers take every dollar possible from the table during these good times.

If you do not have my "Classic Cattle Cycle CD Video that plays in your computer, you can order one from me ($20 plus 4.95 shipping and handlinig) by emailing me at harlan.hughes@gte.net and asking for a copy of the "Classic Cattle Cycle CD Video." I know of no other seminar that I have given that will make you any more money than my "Classic Cattle Cycle Seminar" presented on my computer CD Video.
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